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May 2026 Recap: 84.82% Win Rate. 112 Trades. One of Our Best Months Ever.
May was one of the most volatile, uncertain months in recent memory - an Iran war that kept escalating and de-escalating, the hottest inflation print in three years, a new Fed chair in his first weeks, and bond yields at 19-year highs.
We went 95 wins from 112 trades anyway.
Look at those numbers. 84.82% success rate. +26.79% average gains across the board. And every single analyst in the community posting a win rate above 66% - with Belovy at 93.33%, Mr M at 90.63%, and C1apped at 88.89% in one of the hardest markets of the year to navigate.
This isn't a cherry-picked month. This is what a team of disciplined analysts with a structured approach looks like when the market tries to shake everyone out.
The market threw everything at traders in May. Most retail accounts got hurt. Our community kept winning.
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If the numbers above don't convince you, spend a week inside and let the trades speak for themselves.
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🌡 TradingLab’s Headline Roundup

The S&P 500 closed above 7,600 for the first time on Tuesday - its ninth consecutive day of gains and longest winning streak since May 2025 - powered entirely by the AI trade. A gauge of chipmakers surged nearly 6% in a single session, HPE jumped 25% on a blowout AI server beat, and Marvell Technology added to the semiconductor wave. The bull market has found its engine and it runs on Nvidia and data centres.
The complication, as always, is Iran. Oil surged more than 7% in two sessions after Iran suspended indirect negotiations with the US in protest of Israel's military actions in Lebanon - before steadying overnight as conflicting signals muddied the outlook. The peace deal and the AI rally are now pulling in opposite directions: one wants oil lower, the other doesn't care. For now, tech is winning.
Two other big stories dominating the week: Trump publicly attacked Kevin Warsh less than three weeks into his tenure as Fed chair - the shortest honeymoon period for a Fed chair in modern history. And SpaceX's roadshow opens tomorrow, with pricing June 11 and first Nasdaq trading June 12. Bitcoin, meanwhile, has dropped nearly 14% in 30 days and is sitting near $67-71K, testing critical support at $73K with $2.97 billion in ETF outflows over 10 consecutive sessions.
🏛️ Stock Markets
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S&P 500 closes above 7,600 for the first time - ninth straight day of gains - The S&P 500 advanced 0.13% to close at 7,609.78, while the Dow gained 228 points to 51,307 - both reaching new all-time highs. Nine days straight. The AI trade is doing the heavy lifting.
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Chipmakers surge 6% in a single session - the AI infrastructure trade roars back - The S&P 500 notched its longest winning streak since May 2025 as a gauge of chipmakers surged nearly 6% Tuesday. Marvell, HPE, and the whole semiconductor complex running together. This is what momentum looks like.
HPE surges 25% - AI server demand keeps accelerating - Hewlett Packard Enterprise surged 25% after beating quarterly earnings expectations and raising its full-year guidance, driven by surging AI server demand. Three weeks after Dell's 38% surge on the same thesis. AI hardware is not slowing down.
Iran suspends US peace talks - oil spikes 7% in two days - Oil prices jumped Monday after Iran suspended indirect negotiations with the US in protest of Israel's military actions in Lebanon. Every time a deal looks close, something blows it up. Oil at $100+ is still the ceiling on this rally.
Trump throws Warsh under the bus - three weeks into the job - The shortest Fed chair honeymoon in modern history. Trump publicly attacked Warsh less than three weeks after confirming him, demanding rate cuts despite 3.8% CPI. The Fed's independence narrative is already being stress-tested.
Warren Buffett warns investors may be "gambling" right now - Berkshire's chair flagging speculative excess at an S&P 500 all-time high with a 3.8% PCE print. Not the first time he's been early. Worth keeping in the back of your mind.
ISM Manufacturing hits 54 - first expansion in months - The ISM manufacturing index hit 54 for May, up 1.3 points from April and ahead of the consensus estimate - driven by gains in new orders, imports, and employment. The "recession is coming" crowd just got another data point to explain away.
SpaceX roadshow opens tomorrow - June 12 Nasdaq listing on track - SpaceX's roadshow opens June 4, with pricing June 11 and first Nasdaq trading June 12, targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation and $75 billion raise - the largest float ever attempted. One week away. The biggest IPO in history lands next Thursday.
₿ Crypto
Bitcoin drops to $67-71K - down 14% in 30 days as ETF outflows hit $2.97 billion - Bitcoin was priced at $71,390 Monday, with nearly $2.97 billion in outflows from US spot Bitcoin ETFs over 10 consecutive sessions keeping short-term pressure on the $73,000-$74,000 range. Equities at all-time highs. BTC down 14%. The divergence is getting hard to ignore.
$73K is the line - break it and $61K is next - Analysts say holding $73,000 support is crucial to avoid a deeper correction toward $61,000, with bearish pressure dominating as Bitcoin and major alts test key technical levels. Simple level. Big consequences either way.
SpaceX IPO next week = the biggest single crypto catalyst of June - SpaceX holds 18,712 BTC on its balance sheet - worth approximately $1.45 billion - meaning every SPCX buyer gets passive Bitcoin exposure whether they want it or not. The world's biggest IPO has Bitcoin on the balance sheet. That's not a footnote. That's a $75 billion argument for BTC.
CME launches 24/7 Bitcoin and Ethereum futures - institutional infrastructure keeps building - CME Group launched 24/7 trading for Bitcoin and Ethereum futures and options, with the inaugural weekend seeing over 7,200 contracts traded worth roughly $50 million. The infrastructure for institutional crypto keeps expanding even as price pulls back. That's usually how bottoms form.
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🌡 Free Trading Resources
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Stay ahead, stay informed, and most importantly, stay profitable.
‘til next time,
TradingLab


