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We’ve got the latest on Applied Materials, Ethereum’s breakout, and why gold’s giving up gains.

Good Morning! 

Markets look chill on the surface, but if you know what to watch, the pressure’s building. Consumer vibes are shaky, gold just took a dive, and recession fears? Barclays already U-turned. Meanwhile, our traders are catching clean moves in this chop, and some of you are still trading headlines like it’s 2022.

We’ve got the latest on Applied Materials, Ethereum’s breakout, and why gold’s giving up gains. Oh… and if you haven’t grabbed your free $100 from our new Weex deal yet, what are you even doing?

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šŸ“ˆ What’s Moving Markets Today?

šŸ”„ Futures Flatline: Market Catches Its Breath

Markets are in snooze mode this morning. Dow futures are inching up 0.1%, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are dead flat. After a week packed with trade headlines, earnings noise, and economic jitters, Wall Street’s just catching its breath.

But don’t get too comfortable, this kind of quiet usually doesn’t last.

šŸ“Œ Quick Take:

  • Dow Futures: +59 points

  • S&P/Nasdaq Futures: Barely moving

  • Backdrop: Trade optimism fading, data softening, nerves building

šŸ‘‰ Want to see how our team is positioning before the next move? Tap into our private trading group here.

šŸ“ˆ Barclays Rewinds Recession Call

Barclays is suddenly feeling a little more bullish. Thanks to the U.S.-China deal, they just scrapped their U.S. recession forecast for 2025 and raised their growth outlook.

Nice sentiment shift, but sentiment flips fast these days. We’re still watching closely for cracks.

šŸ“Œ What’s Changed:

  • U.S. GDP revised up to 0.5%

  • Eurozone still shaky, but slightly better

  • Risk-on appetite creeping back, for now

🧠 Consumer Vibes on Watch

The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment report drops today. Tariff worries and inflation have already dragged it down for months. A surprise move could spark some action, especially with traders on edge.

šŸ“Œ Why It Matters:

  • Sentiment = future spending power

  • Inflation expectations climbing

  • ā€œSoft dataā€ moves markets more than people think

One of our members nailed +9.2% on SPY calls last time sentiment flipped. These moments count.
šŸ‘‰ Join us before the next trade setup hits.

🧪 Applied Materials Misses, Shares Dip

Applied Materials disappointed. Its key chipmaking unit missed expectations, and revenue from China, its biggest overseas market, took a hit.

šŸ“Œ Earnings Snapshot:

  • Q2 Revenue: $7.10B vs. $7.13B expected

  • China sales drop: 25% of revenue vs. 43% last year

  • Stock reaction: Lower in after-hours

šŸŖ™ Gold Loses Some Shine

Gold’s pulling back after its record run, dragged down by a stronger dollar and rising yields. Still, it’s holding up relatively well, a bounce could be in the cards soon.

šŸ“Œ Gold Check:

  • Spot Gold: Down 1%

  • Weekly Loss: ~3.2%, worst since Nov 2024

  • Safe-haven trade unwinding, for now

šŸŽ¢ The Takeaway: Don’t Sleep on This Market

This market looks calm, but there’s tension underneath. Between revised growth forecasts, shaky earnings, and sentiment swings, next week could get spicy fast.

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Stay ahead, stay informed, and most importantly, stay profitable.

ā€˜til next time,

TradingLab