Good Morning! 

Welcome back, traders – it’s another day, another chance to front-run the herd. While everyone else is doomposting about $100K BTC, we’re already mapping the next leg up and lining up entries where it hurts the shorts the most. Sherlock just dropped a killer BTC setup that’s either going to rip straight to $119.5K or give us a picture-perfect $114K retest to load longs before takeoff.

Keep scrolling - today’s plays are hitting different. ⚡

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The Play

Sherlock’s been cooking again, and this one’s clean and simple: the breakout is real, but there’s still a cheeky trapdoor below for anyone sleeping on their entries.

Entries

• Aggressive: Long from a clean sweep of the $114K–$113.8K zone (1D QVWAP retest)

• Conservative: Wait for confirmation and long on a clean break and hold above $117K, targeting $119.5K

Exits

• Partial TP around $119.5K major resistance

• Stop just under $113.8K to protect capital

The Catalyst

FOMC week is here, and that means volatility, liquidity hunts, and beautiful fakeouts. BTC already closed a daily candle above the $116.5K resistance, signaling strength, but with the press conference coming up, expect wicks in both directions. A sharp flush into $114K followed by a violent bounce would line up perfectly with Sherlock’s 1D QVWAP retest play.

Altcoins? Still snoozing. BTC is leading the charge, and if it holds the breakout, everything else usually follows.

Our Take

Let’s call it what it is, this chart is screaming accumulation disguised as chaos. Everyone on CT yelling “$100K is coming” is just providing exit liquidity for the next leg up. If price retests the 1D QVWAP around $114K, we’ll be ready to load longs. If not, we ride the momentum wave straight into $119.5K. Either way, the breakout trade from Friday already printed.

While the crowd panics over intraday wicks, we’ll be quietly stacking positions for the next ATH.

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‘til next time,

TradingLab