🧪 $4.5T Tax Cut Package

Plus: Ai's Crown Jewels

February 26, 2025

Together with:

Good Morning!

Markets don’t sleep, and neither do we (okay, maybe a little). Today’s looking spicy—Nvidia’s earnings could shake up AI stocks, Bitcoin’s tumbling, and the House just passed a $4.5T tax-cut package that could reshape the economy. Meanwhile, Super Micro is mooning 25% while Tesla just torched $100B in market cap (ouch).

What’s moving the markets? We’ve got you covered. Scroll down for the biggest plays, sharpest insights, and the numbers that actually matter.

Let’s get into it 👇

🌡 TradingLab’s Headline Roundup

Stock Markets

21st February, 2025

Crypto

Commodities/Forex

Upcoming Earnings

📅 Wednesday, 26th February

  • Advance Auto Parts (AAP)

  • Janus International Group (JBI)

  • Lowe’s (LOW)

  • Nvidia (NVDA)

  • Salesforce (CRM)

  • Urban Outfitters (URBN)

  • Marathon Digital (MARA)

  • Emcore (EME)

  • Clear Secure (YOU)

📅 Thursday, 27th February

  • Bath & Body Works (BBWI)

  • Papa John's (PZZA)

  • Dell Technologies (DELL)

  • Duolingo (DUOL)

  • NuScale Power (SMR)

📅 Friday, 28th February

  • Pearson (PSO)

  • FuboTV (FUBO)

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📈 What’s Moving Markets Today?

📈 Futures Edge Up: Markets Brace for Nvidia

The market’s feeling cautiously optimistic this morning, with U.S. stock futures ticking higher as traders gear up for Nvidia’s earnings—aka the Super Bowl of AI stocks. But let’s be real: after the chaos we saw last month, Wall Street’s still a little on edge.

📌 Market Check:

  • 📊 Dow Futures: +84 points (0.2%)

  • 🏛 S&P 500 Futures: +23 points (0.4%)

  • 💻 Nasdaq Futures: +129 points (0.6%)

Some notable movers: Eli Lilly (LLY) popped after cutting costs on its blockbuster obesity drug, while Zoom (ZM) fell on weak revenue guidance. Meanwhile, Bitcoin's still struggling below $90,000, dragging crypto-related stocks down with it.

🚀 Nvidia Earnings: AI's Crown Jewel Faces a Test

Nvidia is up against some serious expectations as it reports after the bell today. If you think this is just another earnings report, think again—this is the AI stock that determines the entire market's mood.

📌 What to Watch:

  • Q4 Revenue Expectations: $38.25B, with $34.06B from its data center segment

  • Q1 Guidance: Forecasting $42.26B in revenue

  • DeepSeek Drama: A low-cost AI model from China has traders wondering if Nvidia’s dominance will last

  • Stock Pressure: Nvidia lost $593B in market value in a single session last month—the worst one-day wipeout in Wall Street history

If Nvidia smashes expectations, the market could rally hard. If it misses? Brace for turbulence.

🏛️ House Passes $4.5T Tax Cut Package

The U.S. House of Representatives narrowly approved a $4.5 trillion tax-cut and border security package—a big win for Trump’s 2025 agenda. But before you get too excited, this bill still needs to clear the Senate.

📌 The Numbers:

  • ✅ House Vote: 217-215 (every Democrat + 1 Republican voted against)

  • 💰 Tax Cuts: Aims to extend Trump’s 2017 tax reductions

  • 🚧 Border Security: Includes funding for migrant deportation & border reinforcements

The Senate will be the real battleground. If the bill gets through, it could reshape 2025’s economic landscape in a major way.

₿ Bitcoin Struggles Near Three-Month Lows

Crypto bulls are sweating. Bitcoin’s down for the fourth straight session, wiping out $8,000 in a week. This isn’t just a dip—it’s a full-blown shakeout.

📌 Why the Drop?

  • 💸 $1.5B Hack: The ByBit exchange got drained in a massive cyber attack

  • 📉 Weak Economic Data: U.S. growth concerns are making investors risk-averse

  • 🏦 Strategy Bought the Dip: The world's biggest corporate Bitcoin holder snapped up $2B in BTC—but even that hasn’t stopped the bleeding

For now, Bitcoin’s stuck in wait-and-see mode. If risk appetite doesn’t bounce back soon, we could be looking at more downside.

🏆 Gold Cools Off After Recent Highs

Gold’s taking a breather after touching record highs, but safe-haven demand is still strong. With uncertainty swirling around U.S. tariffs, inflation, and global growth, investors aren’t ready to give up their shiny security blanket just yet.

📌 Market Snapshot:

  • 📉 Gold slightly lower, but still holding near highs

  • 🛢️ Copper surging after a power outage in Chile threatens supply

  • 🛢️ Oil prices subdued after hitting a two-month low

🎢 The Takeaway: Buckle Up

Between Nvidia earnings, tax cuts, and Bitcoin’s wild ride, this market is primed for some serious volatility. If Nvidia blows past expectations, AI stocks could rocket higher—but if it stumbles, the broader market could take a hit.

Stay sharp, stay nimble, and as always: don’t fight the trend—ride it. 🚀

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