🧪 104% Tariffs: Trades to Watch!

Uncover market mayhem as Trump drops 104% tariffs, S&P dips below 5,000, and volatility surges. Get my expert insights on turning market panic into strategic profit opportunities.

April 09, 2025

🚨 Tariff-resistant stocks: My group found these winners!

Good Morning!

Markets are twitchy, the S&P just cracked below 5,000, and Trump’s out here tossing 104% tariffs like confetti. Meanwhile, Delta’s bracing for turbulence, Constellation’s hoping beer still sells in a recession, and oil just tripped to a 4-year low.

Bottom line? Volatility is back, and the opportunities are hiding in plain sight.

We’ve got the earnings to watch, the macro mess to decode, and the trades that could turn panic into profit.

Keep reading—your next move might just be in here.

Let’s get into it 👇

🌡 TradingLab’s Headline Roundup

Stock Markets

9th April, 2025

Crypto

Forex/Commodities

Upcoming Earnings

📅 MON.
Dave & Buster’s (PLAY)

📅 TUES.
RPM International (RPM), Tilray (TLRY), Cal-Maine Foods (CALM)

📅 WED.
Delta Air Lines (DAL), Constellation Brands (STZ)

📅 THURS.
CarMax (KMX)

📅 FRI.
JPMorgan Chase (JPM), BlackRock (BLK), Morgan Stanley (MS), Wells Fargo (WFC)

📈 What’s Moving Markets Today?

🔥 Futures Flatline: Market Catches Its Breath

The market woke up today, looked around at the geopolitical mess, yawned, and went back to bed. U.S. stock futures barely budged, trying to shake off yesterday’s brutal sell-off that pushed the S&P 500 below 5,000 for the first time in almost a year. Thanks, tariffs.

By early morning, the numbers weren’t exactly lighting anyone’s hair on fire:

  • 📉 Dow Futures: Down 0.2%—a 74-point dip

  • 🏛 S&P 500 Futures: Also off 0.2%, down 11 points

  • 💻 Nasdaq Futures: Slipped 0.1%, losing 18 points

Markets had a mini sugar high yesterday morning on hopes Trump might chill out on tariffs. But nope—those hopes got steamrolled after the White House doubled down on a 104% tariff on Chinese imports, triggering fresh fears of a recession. (source)

🧨 Tariff Tantrum: Trump Goes Full Trade War

If you thought the tariff drama was all bark and no bite, think again. Trump’s latest round of tariffs just kicked in, including those eye-watering 104% duties on Chinese goods. That’s not a typo. 104%. Basically, the U.S. just told China to go pound sand—with a sledgehammer.

📌 What you need to know:

  • 🇨🇳 China's response? Retaliation, of course. They're calling it “blackmail” and promising to fight back.

  • 💥 Market carnage: The S&P 500 has shed $5.83 trillion in market cap since Trump’s April 2 tariff mic drop. (source)

  • 📉 Heaviest 4-day selloff since the 1950s. You read that right. This ain’t just noise—it’s full-on structural shaking.

  • 🧃 Trump’s take? “A lot of countries want to make deals.” That’s like walking into a fire with a garden hose and calling it strategy.

📦 Eyes on Earnings: Delta & Constellation Step Up

While the market melts down, some companies still have to show up and deliver. Delta Air Lines (DAL) and Constellation Brands (STZ) are both set to report earnings today—and let’s just say expectations are... not high.

📌 What to watch:

  • 🛫 Delta already warned us in advance. Analysts are bracing for commentary on how much demand is dropping thanks to the current chaos.

  • 🍺 Constellation Brands, the beer and booze behemoth behind Modelo and Pacifico, reports after the bell. Watch this one for insights into consumer demand—because if beer sales slump, we’re really in trouble.

  • 😟 Analysts at Vital Knowledge flagged that airline sentiment is already in the toilet and warned Constellation could show cracks in consumer spending too. (source)

📉 Fed Minutes Incoming: Will They Even Matter?

We’ll also get the March FOMC meeting minutes today, but honestly, in this market? It’s like reading old weather forecasts after a hurricane already hit. The Fed’s projections were made before Trump’s tariff escalation, so take them with a grain of salt... or a whole salt shaker.

📌 Context:

  • 🏦 Fed left rates unchanged, but still eyed 0.5% in cuts by end of 2025.

  • 🔄 Talked about slowing balance sheet runoff (a.k.a. quantitative tightening).

  • 🔍 Now, with Trump’s tariff bazooka in the mix, those inflation and growth forecasts might already be toast.

(source)

🛢 Oil Tanks: Lowest in 4+ Years

Here’s one for the “unintended consequences” file: Oil prices just fell off a cliff, hitting their lowest levels since pre-pandemic days. The reason? You guessed it—tariffs.

📌 Numbers don’t lie:

  • 💥 Brent Crude: Down 2.6%, now at $61.20/barrel

  • 🛢 WTI Crude: Dropped 2.7% to $57.98/barrel

  • 🔻 That’s a 20% plunge in five days since Trump’s tariff fest began on April 2

Global demand fears are rising fast. If the world’s two biggest economies are locking horns, oil gets caught in the crossfire. (source)

🎢 The Takeaway: We're in the Splash Zone Now

Let’s not sugarcoat this: the market’s entering high-volatility, high-uncertainty territory, and it’s probably going to stay that way for a while.

💡 Here's where things stand:

  • The S&P 500 broke a key psychological level, and sentiment is teetering.

  • Trump's trade moves are now the main macro driver—more than the Fed, more than earnings.

  • Watch for Delta, Constellation, and the Fed minutes today for any signs of stabilization (or more fireworks).

  • And don't be surprised if gold and other safe-haven plays pick up steam as the market stays nervous.

Buckle up—this ride’s just getting started.

Stay ahead, stay informed, and most importantly, stay profitable.

‘til next time,

TradingLab